What is the probability that the human race will NOT make it to 2100 without any catastrophe that wipes out more than 90% of humanity?
Could we have this question be phrased using no negations instead of two? Something like “What is the probability that there will be a global catastrophe that wipes out 90% or more of humanity before 2100.”
Argh, I hate tweaking historical questions. This seems equivalent so lets try it.
It wound up phrased that way trying to make a minimal change from the historical version of the question, where the question and the title were at odds.
Could we have this question be phrased using no negations instead of two? Something like “What is the probability that there will be a global catastrophe that wipes out 90% or more of humanity before 2100.”
Argh, I hate tweaking historical questions. This seems equivalent so lets try it.
It wound up phrased that way trying to make a minimal change from the historical version of the question, where the question and the title were at odds.