Looks like the poster edited the post since you took this quote. The last two sentence have been removed. Though they might not have explained it well, OP is correct on this point. I think the two sentences removed confused it though.
Crucially you are “told that over the past year, a total of 1 billion people have been in room Y at one time or another whereas only 10,000 people have been in room X.” You are given information about your temporal position relative to all of those people. So regardless whether they were asked the question when they were in the room, you know you are not them. You know that your reference class is the 1000 in room X and 1 in room Y right now. I’m not sure why you’re bringing up asking people repeatedly. I’m pretty sure the poster was assuming everyone was asked only once.
The answer would change if you were told that at some point in the current year (past or future) a total of 1 billion people would pass through room Y at one time or another whereas only 10,000 people would pass through room X. Then you would not know your temporal position and should bet that you are in room Y.
The lines were mistakenly quotes while they are actually my argumentation (needs a paragraph break rather than a line break)
I think I took the question to be that there is evidence about the distribution on how people get sorted into rooms. But I guess it being history makes it not apply to the present while knowledge of a timeless mechanism would apply to both present and history. But here in circustances it might be the case that previous people were sorted with a different logic and you are the first person with a brand new logic. And thus we have 0 knowledge of the logic and can only count the possible cases.
Looks like the poster edited the post since you took this quote. The last two sentence have been removed. Though they might not have explained it well, OP is correct on this point. I think the two sentences removed confused it though.
Crucially you are “told that over the past year, a total of 1 billion people have been in room Y at one time or another whereas only 10,000 people have been in room X.” You are given information about your temporal position relative to all of those people. So regardless whether they were asked the question when they were in the room, you know you are not them. You know that your reference class is the 1000 in room X and 1 in room Y right now. I’m not sure why you’re bringing up asking people repeatedly. I’m pretty sure the poster was assuming everyone was asked only once.
The answer would change if you were told that at some point in the current year (past or future) a total of 1 billion people would pass through room Y at one time or another whereas only 10,000 people would pass through room X. Then you would not know your temporal position and should bet that you are in room Y.
The lines were mistakenly quotes while they are actually my argumentation (needs a paragraph break rather than a line break)
I think I took the question to be that there is evidence about the distribution on how people get sorted into rooms. But I guess it being history makes it not apply to the present while knowledge of a timeless mechanism would apply to both present and history. But here in circustances it might be the case that previous people were sorted with a different logic and you are the first person with a brand new logic. And thus we have 0 knowledge of the logic and can only count the possible cases.