So is the propensity to say, “I knew it instantaneously” a kissing cousin of the hindsight bias?
p=.02 the first 3 conscious thoughts were, sequentially:
“I guess I really am living in the Future.
Thank goodness it wasn’t nuclear.
and then
The overreaction to this will be ten times worse than the original event.”
I can see the utility in starting off the post with such a narrative (grabbing attention and establishing svengali authority), and don’t doubt those 3 thoughts popped up fairly quickly, in one form or another.
I know it’s effective, but I expect a little better.
So is the propensity to say, “I knew it instantaneously” a kissing cousin of the hindsight bias?
p=.02 the first 3 conscious thoughts were, sequentially: “I guess I really am living in the Future. Thank goodness it wasn’t nuclear. and then The overreaction to this will be ten times worse than the original event.”
I can see the utility in starting off the post with such a narrative (grabbing attention and establishing svengali authority), and don’t doubt those 3 thoughts popped up fairly quickly, in one form or another.
I know it’s effective, but I expect a little better.