this is one of the posts when i wish for three examples for the thingy described. because i see two options: 1. this is weakman of the position i hold, in which i seek the ways to draw a map that correspond to the territory, and have my estimations of what work and what no, and disagree with someone about that. and the someone instead of providing evidence that his method providing good predictions or insights, just say i should have more slack.
all you description on why believe in things sounds anti-Beysian. it’s not boolean believe-disbelieve. update yourself incrementally! if i believe something provide zero evidence i will not update, if the deviance dubious, i will update only a little. and then the question is how much credence you assign to what evidence, and methods to find evidence.
2. it’s different worlds situation, when the post writer encountered problem i didn’t.
and i have no way to judge that, without at least one, and better more, actual examples of the interaction, better linked to and not described by the author.
this is one of the posts when i wish for three examples for the thingy described. because i see two options:
1. this is weakman of the position i hold, in which i seek the ways to draw a map that correspond to the territory, and have my estimations of what work and what no, and disagree with someone about that. and the someone instead of providing evidence that his method providing good predictions or insights, just say i should have more slack.
all you description on why believe in things sounds anti-Beysian. it’s not boolean believe-disbelieve. update yourself incrementally! if i believe something provide zero evidence i will not update, if the deviance dubious, i will update only a little. and then the question is how much credence you assign to what evidence, and methods to find evidence.
2. it’s different worlds situation, when the post writer encountered problem i didn’t.
and i have no way to judge that, without at least one, and better more, actual examples of the interaction, better linked to and not described by the author.