Subbarao Kambhampati, Michael Bronstein, Peter Velickovic, Bruno Gavranovic or someone like Lancelot Da Costa
I don’t recognize any of these names. I’m guessing they are academics who are not actually involved with any of the frontier AI efforts, and who think for various technical reasons that AGI is not imminent?
edit: OK, I looked them up, Velickovic is at DeepMind, I didn’t see a connection to “Big AI” for any of the others, but they are all doing work that might matter to the people building AGI. Nonetheless, if their position is that current AI paradigms are going to plateau at a level short of human intelligence, I’d like to see the argument. AIs can still make mistakes that are surprising to a human mind—e.g. in one of my first conversations with the mighty Gemini 2.5, it confidently told me that it was actually Claude Opus 3. (I was talking to it in Google AI Studio, where it seems to be cut off from some system resources that would make it more grounded in reality.) But AI capabilities can also be so shockingly good, that I wouldn’t be surprised if they took over tomorrow.
I don’t recognize any of these names. I’m guessing they are academics who are not actually involved with any of the frontier AI efforts, and who think for various technical reasons that AGI is not imminent?
edit: OK, I looked them up, Velickovic is at DeepMind, I didn’t see a connection to “Big AI” for any of the others, but they are all doing work that might matter to the people building AGI. Nonetheless, if their position is that current AI paradigms are going to plateau at a level short of human intelligence, I’d like to see the argument. AIs can still make mistakes that are surprising to a human mind—e.g. in one of my first conversations with the mighty Gemini 2.5, it confidently told me that it was actually Claude Opus 3. (I was talking to it in Google AI Studio, where it seems to be cut off from some system resources that would make it more grounded in reality.) But AI capabilities can also be so shockingly good, that I wouldn’t be surprised if they took over tomorrow.