Thank you! We need less “yes men” here and more dissenting voices.
The voice counter on this post will be deeply in negative, but that is expected—many people here are exactly in that period you’ve described as “yourself 2 years ago”.
EY is mostly right when he talks about tools to use (all the “better thinking”, rationality anti-bias ways), EY is mostly wrong when he talks about his deeply rooted beliefs in topics he doesn’t have a lot of experience in. Unfortunately this covers most of the topics he speaks about and that isn’t clearly seen due to his vocabulary and the fact that he is genuinely smart person.
Unfortunately^2 it looks like he failed to self-identify his biggest bias that I personally prefer to call “Linus Pauling” effect—when someone is really, really smart (and EY is!) he thinks he’s good in everything (even when he simultaneously acknowledge that he isn’t—probably the update value of this in his NN could really use a bigger weight!) and wants to spread the “wisdom” of everything, without understanding that IQ+rationality is crappy substitute for experience in the area.
Thank you! We need less “yes men” here and more dissenting voices. The voice counter on this post will be deeply in negative, but that is expected—many people here are exactly in that period you’ve described as “yourself 2 years ago”.
EY is mostly right when he talks about tools to use (all the “better thinking”, rationality anti-bias ways), EY is mostly wrong when he talks about his deeply rooted beliefs in topics he doesn’t have a lot of experience in. Unfortunately this covers most of the topics he speaks about and that isn’t clearly seen due to his vocabulary and the fact that he is genuinely smart person.
Unfortunately^2 it looks like he failed to self-identify his biggest bias that I personally prefer to call “Linus Pauling” effect—when someone is really, really smart (and EY is!) he thinks he’s good in everything (even when he simultaneously acknowledge that he isn’t—probably the update value of this in his NN could really use a bigger weight!) and wants to spread the “wisdom” of everything, without understanding that IQ+rationality is crappy substitute for experience in the area.