Interesting, I can’t recall an article Moldbug wrote with which I would agree as strongly as with this one. Maybe his recent spur of activity is worth following after all, just ignore the comment section.
I see Moldbug continues to ignore TGGP’s offer of a bet on his claim that Bitcoin will probably go to zero in 2013. I’d be happy to bet, say, $50 with either you or Konkvistador that it won’t go to—zero seems unfair, so maybe 5 cents—in 2013.
I wish he accepted the bet, it would increase how seriously I take him (not very much except this article). I’m willing to predictionbook it and make a karma bet on it. Sorry I’m really poor and waaaay to risk averse. Its irrational I know :(
I put 30% chance on BitCoin on your 5 cents benchmark by January 1st 2014.
Interesting, I can’t recall an article Moldbug wrote with which I would agree as strongly as with this one. Maybe his recent spur of activity is worth following after all, just ignore the comment section.
I see Moldbug continues to ignore TGGP’s offer of a bet on his claim that Bitcoin will probably go to zero in 2013. I’d be happy to bet, say, $50 with either you or Konkvistador that it won’t go to—zero seems unfair, so maybe 5 cents—in 2013.
I wish he accepted the bet, it would increase how seriously I take him (not very much except this article). I’m willing to predictionbook it and make a karma bet on it. Sorry I’m really poor and waaaay to risk averse. Its irrational I know :(
I put 30% chance on BitCoin on your 5 cents benchmark by January 1st 2014.
http://predictionbook.com/predictions/14963
Gwern’s comment was good but about two thirds of the commenter’s are horrid.