You can find AGI predictions, including Starcraft forecasts, in “When Will AI Exceed Human Performance? Evidence from AI Experts”. Projects for having “all forecasts on AGI in one place” include ai.metaculus.com & foretold.io.
Looks like all of the “games”-oriented predictions that were supposed to happen in the first 25 years have already happened within 3.
edit: Misread the charts. It’s more like the predictions within the first ~10 years have already been accomplished, plus or minus a few.
You can find AGI predictions, including Starcraft forecasts, in “When Will AI Exceed Human Performance? Evidence from AI Experts”. Projects for having “all forecasts on AGI in one place” include ai.metaculus.com & foretold.io.
Looks like all of the “games”-oriented predictions that were supposed to happen in the first 25 years have already happened within 3.
edit: Misread the charts. It’s more like the predictions within the first ~10 years have already been accomplished, plus or minus a few.