I agree that expecting nobody in power to notice the potential before AGI is takeover-capable seems implausible on the slow-takeoff path that now looks likely.
It seems like the incoming administration is pretty free-market oriented. So I’d expect government involvement to mostly be giving the existing orgs money, and just taking over control of their projects as much as seems necessary—or fun.
I agree that expecting nobody in power to notice the potential before AGI is takeover-capable seems implausible on the slow-takeoff path that now looks likely.
It seems like the incoming administration is pretty free-market oriented. So I’d expect government involvement to mostly be giving the existing orgs money, and just taking over control of their projects as much as seems necessary—or fun.