Christian’s question is spot on. What he doesn’t say is the reason he’s asking. What you’re describing isn’t a belief, it’s a somewhat vague cluster of beliefs. different beliefs in the cluster can have different credence levels, and treating them as a unit means it’s unanswerable how accurate you are.
Decompose your question to specific falsifiable statements. You should believe whatever lets you most accurately predict the future conditional on your choices.
So; what choices are you facing where beliefs on this topic pay rent? Or, if you prefer, what predictions are you testing with the belief?
Sorry, I didn’t expressed correctly. What I’m asking is “what should I believe”?
Christian’s question is spot on. What he doesn’t say is the reason he’s asking. What you’re describing isn’t a belief, it’s a somewhat vague cluster of beliefs. different beliefs in the cluster can have different credence levels, and treating them as a unit means it’s unanswerable how accurate you are.
Decompose your question to specific falsifiable statements. You should believe whatever lets you most accurately predict the future conditional on your choices.
So; what choices are you facing where beliefs on this topic pay rent? Or, if you prefer, what predictions are you testing with the belief?
Why should you believe any specific conclusion on this matter rather than remain in doubt?