I got that exact message, and did click the link, about 1h after the timestamp of the message in my inbox.
Reasoning:
The initial poll doesn’t actually mention that the results would be used to decide the topic of next year’s Petrov Day. I think all the virtues are important, but if you want to have a day specifically focusing on one, it might make more sense to have the day focused on the least voted virtue (or just not the most-voted one), since it is more likely to be neglected.
I predict there was no outright majority (just a plurality) in the original poll. So most likely, the only thing the first clicker is deciding is going with the will of something like a 20% minority group instead of a 30% minority group.
I predict that if you ran a ranked-choice poll that was explicitly on which virtue to make the next Petrov Day about, the plurality winner of the original poll would not win.
All of these reasons are independent of my actual initial choice, and seem like the kind of thing that an actual majority of the initial poll respondents might agree with me about. And it actually seems preferable (or at least not harmful) if one of the other minorities gets selected instead, i.e. my actual preference ordering for what next year’s Petrov Day should be about is (my own choice) > (one of the other two minority options) > (whatever the original plurality selection was).
If lots of other people have a similar preference ordering, then it’s better for most people if anyone clicks the link, and if you happen to be the first clicker, you get a bonus of having your own personal favorite choice selected.
(Another prediction, less confident than my first two: I was not the first clicker, but the first clicker was also someone who initially chose the “Avoiding actions...” virtue in the first poll.)
I got that exact message, and did click the link, about 1h after the timestamp of the message in my inbox.
Reasoning:
The initial poll doesn’t actually mention that the results would be used to decide the topic of next year’s Petrov Day. I think all the virtues are important, but if you want to have a day specifically focusing on one, it might make more sense to have the day focused on the least voted virtue (or just not the most-voted one), since it is more likely to be neglected.
I predict there was no outright majority (just a plurality) in the original poll. So most likely, the only thing the first clicker is deciding is going with the will of something like a 20% minority group instead of a 30% minority group.
I predict that if you ran a ranked-choice poll that was explicitly on which virtue to make the next Petrov Day about, the plurality winner of the original poll would not win.
All of these reasons are independent of my actual initial choice, and seem like the kind of thing that an actual majority of the initial poll respondents might agree with me about. And it actually seems preferable (or at least not harmful) if one of the other minorities gets selected instead, i.e. my actual preference ordering for what next year’s Petrov Day should be about is (my own choice) > (one of the other two minority options) > (whatever the original plurality selection was).
If lots of other people have a similar preference ordering, then it’s better for most people if anyone clicks the link, and if you happen to be the first clicker, you get a bonus of having your own personal favorite choice selected.
(Another prediction, less confident than my first two: I was not the first clicker, but the first clicker was also someone who initially chose the “Avoiding actions...” virtue in the first poll.)