There’s evidence to be had in the fact that, though it’s been known for a long time, it’s not a big field of study with clear experts. From very light googling, it seems likely to happen over hundreds or thousands of years, which puts it pretty far down the list of x-risk worries IMO.
There’s evidence to be had in the fact that, though it’s been known for a long time, it’s not a big field of study with clear experts.
This is true. It’s only a mild comfort to me, though, since I don’t have too much faith in humanity’s ability to conjure up fields of study for important problems. But I do have some faith.
From very light googling, it seems likely to happen over hundreds or thousands of years, which puts it pretty far down the list of x-risk worries IMO.
Also true. This makes me update away from “we might wake up dead tomorrow” and towards “the future might be pretty odd, like maybe we’ll all wear radiation suits when we’re outside for a few generations”.
There’s evidence to be had in the fact that, though it’s been known for a long time, it’s not a big field of study with clear experts. From very light googling, it seems likely to happen over hundreds or thousands of years, which puts it pretty far down the list of x-risk worries IMO.
This is true. It’s only a mild comfort to me, though, since I don’t have too much faith in humanity’s ability to conjure up fields of study for important problems. But I do have some faith.
Also true. This makes me update away from “we might wake up dead tomorrow” and towards “the future might be pretty odd, like maybe we’ll all wear radiation suits when we’re outside for a few generations”.