theoretically, you might both even have exactly the same evidence, but gathered in a different order. The question is one of differing interpretations, not raw data as such.
I happen to be studying conflicts in a completely different domain, in which I claim the solution is to ensure the events shape identical result no matter in which order they are applied. I briefly wondered whether my result could be useful in other domains, and I thought of lesswrong: perhaps we should advocate update strategies which don’t depend on the order in which the evidence is encountered.
This seems to open up the idea of ‘logic games’ a la confirmation bias:
Eg: Likelihood of -
US invading China
China testing nukes in the Pacific
*US invading because of China testing nukes in the Pacific
In fact, there’s a lot of stuff from this site that could be compiled into a “Puzzles for people with High IQs” books, except if somebody from here made the book it would be more useful, and less arbitrary in what it considers to be the ‘right’ answers.
I happen to be studying conflicts in a completely different domain, in which I claim the solution is to ensure the events shape identical result no matter in which order they are applied. I briefly wondered whether my result could be useful in other domains, and I thought of lesswrong: perhaps we should advocate update strategies which don’t depend on the order in which the evidence is encountered.
And then your post came up! Nice timing.
This seems to open up the idea of ‘logic games’ a la confirmation bias: Eg: Likelihood of - US invading China China testing nukes in the Pacific *US invading because of China testing nukes in the Pacific
In fact, there’s a lot of stuff from this site that could be compiled into a “Puzzles for people with High IQs” books, except if somebody from here made the book it would be more useful, and less arbitrary in what it considers to be the ‘right’ answers.