Yes for sure. I don’t know how it would play out, and am skeptical anyone could. We can guess scenarios.
1. The most easily imagined one is the Pebbles owner staying in their comfort zone and not enforcing #2 at all. Something similar already happened—the USA got nukes first and let others catch up. In this case threatened nations try all sorts of things, political, commercial/trade, space war, arms race but don’t actually start a hot conflict. The Pebbles owner is left not knowing whether their system is still effective, nor the threatened countries—an unstable situation.
2. The threatened nation tries to destroy the pebbles with non-nuke means. If this was Russia, USA maybe could regenerate the system faster than Russia could destroy satellites. If its China, then lets say its not. The USA then needs to decide whether to strike the anti-satellite ground infrastructure to keep its system...
3. The threatened nation such as NK just refuses to give up nukes—in this case I can see USA destroying it.
4. India or Israel say refuses to give up their arsenal—I have no idea what would happen then.
I think the part where other nations just roll with this is underexplained.
Yes for sure. I don’t know how it would play out, and am skeptical anyone could. We can guess scenarios.
1. The most easily imagined one is the Pebbles owner staying in their comfort zone and not enforcing #2 at all. Something similar already happened—the USA got nukes first and let others catch up. In this case threatened nations try all sorts of things, political, commercial/trade, space war, arms race but don’t actually start a hot conflict. The Pebbles owner is left not knowing whether their system is still effective, nor the threatened countries—an unstable situation.
2. The threatened nation tries to destroy the pebbles with non-nuke means. If this was Russia, USA maybe could regenerate the system faster than Russia could destroy satellites. If its China, then lets say its not. The USA then needs to decide whether to strike the anti-satellite ground infrastructure to keep its system...
3. The threatened nation such as NK just refuses to give up nukes—in this case I can see USA destroying it.
4. India or Israel say refuses to give up their arsenal—I have no idea what would happen then.