Yes, agreed, that is one of the points of disagreement about free will. I find it more strange to think the future is more steerable in a world where you can’t predict the outcomes of actions even in principle.
Determinism doesn’t give you perfect predictive ability, since you can still have limitations of cognition and information Indeterminism doesn’t have to take it away, either: it’s a feature of two-stage theories that the indeterminism is mostly at the decision making stage, not the decision-executing stage.
In the case of steering the future and AI, the thing in question is more about who is doing the steering, less about the gears-level question of how steering works as a concept.
Says who? If we are predetermined to be killed bi ASI, that’s that—all outr current efforts are in vain.
Free will isn’t a point of difference among options,
No, it’s a point about whether there are options.
It’s also very different from retaining the ability to continue to steer and course correct.
Which you can’t “retain”, since you never had it, under determinism.
Determinism doesn’t give you perfect predictive ability, since you can still have limitations of cognition and information Indeterminism doesn’t have to take it away, either: it’s a feature of two-stage theories that the indeterminism is mostly at the decision making stage, not the decision-executing stage.
Says who? If we are predetermined to be killed bi ASI, that’s that—all outr current efforts are in vain.
No, it’s a point about whether there are options.
Which you can’t “retain”, since you never had it, under determinism.