“It’s plausible that things could go much faster than this, but as a prediction about what will actually happen, humanity as a whole probably doesn’t want things to get incredibly crazy so fast, and so we’re likely to see something tamer.” I basically agree with that.
I feel confused about how this squares with Dario’s view that AI is “inevitable,” and “driven by powerful market forces.” Like, if humanity starts producing a technology which makes practically all aspects of life better, the idea is that this will just… stop? I’m sure some people will be scared of how fast it’s going, but it’s hard for me to see the case for the market in aggregate incentivizing less of a technology which fixes ~all problems and creates tremendous value. Maybe the idea, instead, is that governments will step in...? Which seems plausible to me, but as Ryan notes, Dario doesn’t say this.
I feel confused about how this squares with Dario’s view that AI is “inevitable,” and “driven by powerful market forces.” Like, if humanity starts producing a technology which makes practically all aspects of life better, the idea is that this will just… stop? I’m sure some people will be scared of how fast it’s going, but it’s hard for me to see the case for the market in aggregate incentivizing less of a technology which fixes ~all problems and creates tremendous value. Maybe the idea, instead, is that governments will step in...? Which seems plausible to me, but as Ryan notes, Dario doesn’t say this.