Re: the comparison to good judgement: good point. I added an update in the text and edited the wording since we didn’t study relative question difficulty or time horizon.
Re: really fun vs addictive: we hope using Forecast brings people joy, helps them think and write more rationally, and helps improve conversations between people on contentious topics. At our current scale, this is something we mostly measure qualitatively. If/as we scale, we hope to understand how people experience Forecast more rigorously.
Re: scale and data: appreciate the feedback. This is something that is of utmost concern for us if/as we scale.
Hi there! A few comments
Re: the comparison to good judgement: good point. I added an update in the text and edited the wording since we didn’t study relative question difficulty or time horizon.
Re: really fun vs addictive: we hope using Forecast brings people joy, helps them think and write more rationally, and helps improve conversations between people on contentious topics. At our current scale, this is something we mostly measure qualitatively. If/as we scale, we hope to understand how people experience Forecast more rigorously.
Re: scale and data: appreciate the feedback. This is something that is of utmost concern for us if/as we scale.