Thanks Sebastian. I agree with your points and it scares me even more to think about the implications of what is already happening. Surely the US, China, Russia, etc., already realize the game-changing potential of superintelligent AI and are working hard to make it reality. It’s probably already a new (covert) arms race. But this to me is very strong support for seeking int’l treaty solutions now and working very hard in the coming years to strengthen that regime. Because once the unfriendly AI gets out of the bag, as with Pandora’s Box, there’s no pushing it back in. I think this issue really needs to be elevated very quickly.
Thinking about policy responses seems quite neglected to me. It’s true there are prima facie reasons to expect regulation or global cooperation to be ‘hard’, but the details of the situation deserve a great deal more thought, and ‘hard’ should be compared to the difficulty of developing some narrow variety of AI before anyone else develops any powerful AI.
Thanks Sebastian. I agree with your points and it scares me even more to think about the implications of what is already happening. Surely the US, China, Russia, etc., already realize the game-changing potential of superintelligent AI and are working hard to make it reality. It’s probably already a new (covert) arms race. But this to me is very strong support for seeking int’l treaty solutions now and working very hard in the coming years to strengthen that regime. Because once the unfriendly AI gets out of the bag, as with Pandora’s Box, there’s no pushing it back in. I think this issue really needs to be elevated very quickly.
Thinking about policy responses seems quite neglected to me. It’s true there are prima facie reasons to expect regulation or global cooperation to be ‘hard’, but the details of the situation deserve a great deal more thought, and ‘hard’ should be compared to the difficulty of developing some narrow variety of AI before anyone else develops any powerful AI.
In that sentence “superintelligent AI’ can be replaced with pretty much anything, starting with “time travel” and ending with “mind-control ray”.