Ben_Welchner comments on I Was Not Almost Wrong But I Was Almost Right: Close-Call Counterfactuals and Bias

[Ben_Welchner]

He also notes that the experts who’d made failed predictions and employed strong defenses tended to update their confidence, while the experts who’d made failed predictions but didn’t employ strong defenses did update.

I assume there’s a ‘not’ missing in one of those.

[Kaj_Sotala]

Fixed, thanks.