For the purposes of the problem, to be surprised just means that something happened to you which you didn’t predict beforehand.
Okay, I understand that.
Its not the usual definition (among other things it implies I should be ‘surprised’ if a coin I flip comes up heads) but presumably whoever first came up with the paradox couldn’t think of a better word to express whatever they meant.
But I don’t understand that.
I mean, why couldn’t I simply predict that it would be heads or tails?
Okay, I understand that.
But I don’t understand that.
I mean, why couldn’t I simply predict that it would be heads or tails?
Can you accurately predict whether a coin will come up heads or tails? I can’t.
No, but I can accurately predict that a coin will come heads or tails.
what if it lands on its edge like in batman
Okay, it seems we have hit another problem with words.
For the purposes of this definition to predict something means to have sufficient evidence to assign it a probability very close to 1.
Oh okay.