SomeoneYouOnceKnew comments on How seriously should we take the hypothesis that LW is just wrong on how AI will impact the 21st century?

[SomeoneYouOnceKnew]

don’t post any version of it that says “I’m sure this will be downvoted”

For sure. The actual post I make will not demonstrate my personal insecurities.

what bet?

I will propose a broad test/​bet that will shed light on my claims or give some places to examine.