I think cold war incentives with regards to tech development were atypical. Building 1000′s of ICBMs was incredibly costly, neither side derived any benefit from it, it was simply defensive matching to maintain MAD, both sides were strongly motivated to enable mechanisms to reduce numbers and costs (START treaties).
This is clearly not the case with AI—which is far cheaper to develop, easier to hide, and has myriad lucrative use cases. Policing a Dune-style “thou shalt not make a machine in the likeness of a human mind” Butlerian Jihad (interesting aside; Samuel Butler was a 19th century anti-industrialisation philosopher/shepard who lived at Erewhon in NZ (nowhere backwards) a river valley that featured as Edoras in the LOTR trilogy) would require radical openness to inspection everywhere all the time, that almost certainly won’t be feasible without establishment of liberal democracy basically everywhere in the world. Despots would be a magnet for rule breakers.
I think cold war incentives with regards to tech development were atypical. Building 1000′s of ICBMs was incredibly costly, neither side derived any benefit from it, it was simply defensive matching to maintain MAD, both sides were strongly motivated to enable mechanisms to reduce numbers and costs (START treaties).
This is clearly not the case with AI—which is far cheaper to develop, easier to hide, and has myriad lucrative use cases. Policing a Dune-style “thou shalt not make a machine in the likeness of a human mind” Butlerian Jihad (interesting aside; Samuel Butler was a 19th century anti-industrialisation philosopher/shepard who lived at Erewhon in NZ (nowhere backwards) a river valley that featured as Edoras in the LOTR trilogy) would require radical openness to inspection everywhere all the time, that almost certainly won’t be feasible without establishment of liberal democracy basically everywhere in the world. Despots would be a magnet for rule breakers.