Does anyone have thoughts on the recent Oxford study that claims that only a very small minority of infections lead to hospitalization or death, and that >50% of the UK population is already infected?
Does anyone have thoughts on the recent Oxford study that claims that only a very small minority of infections lead to hospitalization or death, and that >50% of the UK population is already infected?
My thought can be summed up with the word “bullshit”. The numbers required for that high an infection rate are orders of magnitude off what we know from the Diamond Princess data alone.
Does anyone have thoughts on the recent Oxford study that claims that only a very small minority of infections lead to hospitalization or death, and that >50% of the UK population is already infected?
https://www.dropbox.com/s/oxmu2rwsnhi9j9c/Draft-COVID-19-Model%20%2813%29.pdf
https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1242611599405277184
′ Imagine if I were to write a paper about a thought experiment: “Could evolution work if animals didn’t die?”
Well, the equivalent @FT headline would read “We may be immortal—UW study.” It’s that bad. ′
My thought can be summed up with the word “bullshit”. The numbers required for that high an infection rate are orders of magnitude off what we know from the Diamond Princess data alone.