I should have made it clearer I don’t deny we can literally flatten the curve, but rather the idea that
most people get exposed but slowly enough to not overwhelm the health care system.
Unclear to me how well St Louis did on the health care system front. Also, the pairing of Philadelphia and St Louis is a bit convenient if you consider the raw scatterplot (panel C bottom left—ETA Philadelphia is the dot closest to Pittsburgh per this table).
It worked in 1918: https://qz.com/1816060/a-chart-of-the-1918-spanish-flu-shows-why-social-distancing-works/
I should have made it clearer I don’t deny we can literally flatten the curve, but rather the idea that
Unclear to me how well St Louis did on the health care system front. Also, the pairing of Philadelphia and St Louis is a bit convenient if you consider the raw scatterplot (panel C bottom left—ETA Philadelphia is the dot closest to Pittsburgh per this table).