In the Nature Podcast from January 26th, the author of the paper, Dražen Prelec, said that he developed the hypothesis for this paper by means of some fairly involved math, but that he discovered afterwards he needed only a simple syllogism of a sort that Aristotle would have recognized. Unfortunately, the interviewer didn’t ask him what the syllogism was. I spent ~20 minutes googling to satisfy my curiosity, but I found nothing.
If you happen to know what syllogism he meant, I’d be thrilled to hear it. Also it would suit the headline here well.
Maybe something like “there is one truth, but many ways of being wrong, so those who don’t know the truth will spread their population estimates too widely?”
In the Nature Podcast from January 26th, the author of the paper, Dražen Prelec, said that he developed the hypothesis for this paper by means of some fairly involved math, but that he discovered afterwards he needed only a simple syllogism of a sort that Aristotle would have recognized. Unfortunately, the interviewer didn’t ask him what the syllogism was. I spent ~20 minutes googling to satisfy my curiosity, but I found nothing.
If you happen to know what syllogism he meant, I’d be thrilled to hear it. Also it would suit the headline here well.
Maybe something like “there is one truth, but many ways of being wrong, so those who don’t know the truth will spread their population estimates too widely?”