It seems like you are trying to create a new partisan political party. To skip unrelated drama I’ll refer to it as Evidence Based Politics Proponents, or EBPP, because that summarizes what I think you want and taboos the things that I think people find objectionable about the name.
The current two-party system has evolved over a hundred or so federal elections to approach at least a local maximum in their strategy. Their strategy is likely significantly better than the typical one; in particular the winning strategy is expected to be significantly better than intuitive strategies that are not incorporated into the winning strategy. I think that the values and methods you are proposing for the EBPP are intuitive and have been tried repeatedly, and have failed to ever take hold.
Why do you think that trying for honesty and rational decision making will be significantly more effective at winning elections or accomplishing goals in 2018 than it has been from 1791-present?
Do you think it hasn’t been tried before, or do you think that you have a better plan thanThe Coalition for Evidence-Based Policy, the group currently considering as “top tier” interventions that result in up to 14% of students reporting that they had never smoked (the largest effect size of various studies; typical values were between 5-10% less of the experimental group reported recent drug use or heavy intoxication than the control group, after a long period. With their strongest recommendations being for effect sizes that large, I can’t image how they would tackle fiscal policy recommendations and other policies that have a large expected value but are currently managed by ideological and tribal forces.
The current facts on the political reality is that once a domain of science gets close to suggesting political policy, political control of the science becomes certain. For example, regardless of what the facts are about climate trends, the conclusions drawn by “independent” groups have an implied political policy which correlates strongly with the desired policy of their funding agency. The actual facts are unavailable for public perusal partly because they are arcane and partly because they are obfuscated. The rational politcs strategy would be determining how desirable each climate is and how desirable each level of CO2 production is and how CO2 production maps to climate to find the optimum balance between the two; that optimum strategy cannot happen when one camp is focusing on ideological goals of zero net emissions for reasons unrelated to climate and another camp is demanding zero restrictions based on ideaology.
It seems like you are trying to create a new partisan political party. To skip unrelated drama I’ll refer to it as Evidence Based Politics Proponents, or EBPP, because that summarizes what I think you want and taboos the things that I think people find objectionable about the name.
The current two-party system has evolved over a hundred or so federal elections to approach at least a local maximum in their strategy. Their strategy is likely significantly better than the typical one; in particular the winning strategy is expected to be significantly better than intuitive strategies that are not incorporated into the winning strategy. I think that the values and methods you are proposing for the EBPP are intuitive and have been tried repeatedly, and have failed to ever take hold.
Why do you think that trying for honesty and rational decision making will be significantly more effective at winning elections or accomplishing goals in 2018 than it has been from 1791-present?
Do you think it hasn’t been tried before, or do you think that you have a better plan thanThe Coalition for Evidence-Based Policy, the group currently considering as “top tier” interventions that result in up to 14% of students reporting that they had never smoked (the largest effect size of various studies; typical values were between 5-10% less of the experimental group reported recent drug use or heavy intoxication than the control group, after a long period. With their strongest recommendations being for effect sizes that large, I can’t image how they would tackle fiscal policy recommendations and other policies that have a large expected value but are currently managed by ideological and tribal forces.
The current facts on the political reality is that once a domain of science gets close to suggesting political policy, political control of the science becomes certain. For example, regardless of what the facts are about climate trends, the conclusions drawn by “independent” groups have an implied political policy which correlates strongly with the desired policy of their funding agency. The actual facts are unavailable for public perusal partly because they are arcane and partly because they are obfuscated. The rational politcs strategy would be determining how desirable each climate is and how desirable each level of CO2 production is and how CO2 production maps to climate to find the optimum balance between the two; that optimum strategy cannot happen when one camp is focusing on ideological goals of zero net emissions for reasons unrelated to climate and another camp is demanding zero restrictions based on ideaology.