I’m somewhere between the stock market and the rationalist/EA community on this.
I’m hesitant to accept a claim like “rationalists are far better at the stock market than other top traders”. I agree that the general guess “AI will do well” generally was more correct than the market, but it was just one call (in which case luck is a major factor), and there were a lot of other calls made there that aren’t tracked.
I think we can point to many people who did make money, but I’m not sure how much this community made on average.
Just curious. How do you square the rise in AI stocks taking so long? Many people here thought it was obvious since 2022 and made a ton of money.
I’m somewhere between the stock market and the rationalist/EA community on this.
I’m hesitant to accept a claim like “rationalists are far better at the stock market than other top traders”. I agree that the general guess “AI will do well” generally was more correct than the market, but it was just one call (in which case luck is a major factor), and there were a lot of other calls made there that aren’t tracked.
I think we can point to many people who did make money, but I’m not sure how much this community made on average.