This is true, but it doesn’t fit well with the given example of “When will [country] develop the nuclear bomb?”. The problem isn’t that people can’t agree what “nuclear bomb” means or who already has them. The problem is that people are working from different priors and extrapolating them in different ways.
This is true, but it doesn’t fit well with the given example of “When will [country] develop the nuclear bomb?”. The problem isn’t that people can’t agree what “nuclear bomb” means or who already has them. The problem is that people are working from different priors and extrapolating them in different ways.