somewhat confident of Omega’s prediction
51% confidence would suffice.
Two-box expected value: 0.51 $1K + 0.49 $1.001M = $491000
One-box expected value: 0.51 $1M + 0.49 $0 = $510000
51% confidence would suffice.
Two-box expected value: 0.51 $1K + 0.49 $1.001M = $491000
One-box expected value: 0.51 $1M + 0.49 $0 = $510000