I’m a big fan of the work of John Vervaeke, particularly the role of Relevance Realisation in helping (and hindering) us make good decisions. In this case, the Prescient alien is just a distraction from the salient facts, which are, in 100 trials, 100% of the time, the best choice is to take the opaque box.
I’m a big fan of the work of John Vervaeke, particularly the role of Relevance Realisation in helping (and hindering) us make good decisions. In this case, the Prescient alien is just a distraction from the salient facts, which are, in 100 trials, 100% of the time, the best choice is to take the opaque box.