Following up on my earlier question, which asked about the implications of coronavirus infecting >10% of the world, I’m now more interested in discussing how likely it is that that will happen. To that end, I’m asking about “saving throws,” i.e. reasons why the virus might be stopped before then.
I know of three plausible ones so far:
1. Warm weather is coming and might dramatically slow or even stop the virus.
2. A vaccine might be found and deployed.
3. World governments might follow in China’s footsteps and initiate massive quarantines etc.
Are there more?
And how plausible are these three?
My sense right now is that 1 is somewhat probable, 2 is improbable, and 3 is improbable.
[Question] What “Saving throws” does the world have against coronavirus? (And how plausible are they?)
Following up on my earlier question, which asked about the implications of coronavirus infecting >10% of the world, I’m now more interested in discussing how likely it is that that will happen. To that end, I’m asking about “saving throws,” i.e. reasons why the virus might be stopped before then.
I know of three plausible ones so far:
1. Warm weather is coming and might dramatically slow or even stop the virus.
2. A vaccine might be found and deployed.
3. World governments might follow in China’s footsteps and initiate massive quarantines etc.
Are there more?
And how plausible are these three?
My sense right now is that 1 is somewhat probable, 2 is improbable, and 3 is improbable.