Your comment creates a misleading impression of my article. Nowhere do I say experts can give a point probability of success. On the contrary, I frequently reject that idea. I also find it silly when people say the probably of AI destroying humans is 20%, or 45%, or whatever.
You don’t provide any support for the claim that “the rest of the article doesn’t hold all that well together”, so I’m unable to respond usefully.
Your comment creates a misleading impression of my article. Nowhere do I say experts can give a point probability of success. On the contrary, I frequently reject that idea. I also find it silly when people say the probably of AI destroying humans is 20%, or 45%, or whatever.
You don’t provide any support for the claim that “the rest of the article doesn’t hold all that well together”, so I’m unable to respond usefully.