How to up­date P(x this week), upon hear­ing P(x next month) = 99.5%?

Se­cond-Order Logic: The Controversy

Weekly LW Mee­tups: Bielefeld, Mont­pel­lier, Vancouver

How to Teach Stu­dents to Not Guess the Teacher’s Pass­word?

How to Teach Stu­dents to Not Guess the Teacher’s Pass­word?

[SEQ RERUN] Vi­su­al­iz­ing Eutopia

Meetup : Buf­falo Meetup

Case Study: the Death Note Script and Bayes

In­ter­per­sonal and in­trap­er­sonal util­ity comparisons

PSA: Please list your refer­ences, don’t just link them

Can in­finite quan­tities ex­ist? A philo­soph­i­cal approach

How much to spend on a high-var­i­ance op­tion?

My Best Case vs Your Worst Case

2012: Year in Review

[Link] Hey Ex­traverts: Enough is Enough

[SEQ RERUN] For The Peo­ple Who Are Still Alive

Ap­plied Ra­tion­al­ity Work­shops: Jan 25-28 and March 1-4

Meetup : 13th Jan­uary Lon­don Meetup

How to Disen­tan­gle the Past and the Future

Ra­tion­al­ity Quotes Jan­uary 2013

[Link] On the Height of a Field

[SEQ RERUN] You Only Live Twice

Poli­tics Dis­cus­sion Thread Jan­uary 2013

How not to sort by a com­pli­cated fre­quen­tist formula

What is the best pa­per ex­plain­ing the su­pe­ri­or­ity of Bayesi­anism over fre­quen­tism?

[Link] TEDx talk of An­ders Sand­berg on the Fermi “para­dox”

Some scary life ex­ten­sion dilemmas

New Year’s Pre­dic­tion Thread (2013)

You can’t sig­nal to rubes

Gaug­ing of in­ter­est: LW stock pick­ing?

Open Thread, Jan­uary 1-15, 2013

[Link] Economists’ views differ by gender

[Link] The Col­lapse of Com­plex So­cieties

[Link] Statis­ti­cally, Peo­ple Are Not Very Good At Mak­ing Vot­ing Decisions

[SEQ RERUN] We Agree: Get Froze

Stop Us­ing LessWrong: A Prac­ti­cal In­ter­pre­ta­tion of the 2012 Sur­vey Results

Should a judge do it’s job or max­i­mize over­all happiness

Meetup : Durham LW Meetup: Zendo

Three kinds of moral uncertainty

A Game for Prob­a­bil­is­tic Thinking

Meetup : West LA Meetup—Defense Against the Dark Arts, Part I

[SEQ RERUN] Not Tak­ing Over the World

Brain-in-a-vat Trol­ley Question

Meetup : Fourth Buenos Aires Less Wrong meetup

In­fer­ring Values from Im­perfect Optimizers

The on­go­ing trans­for­ma­tion of quan­tum field theory

[SEQ RERUN] What I Think, If Not Why

Meetup : Durham HPMoR Dis­cus­sion, chap­ters 24-26

Is ruth­less­ness in busi­ness ex­ec­u­tives ever use­ful?

A cure for akrasia