We Change Our Minds Less Often Than We Think

Prob­a­bil­ity is the oil of rationalisation

A Ra­tional Argument

Recom­mended Ra­tion­al­ist Reading

Rationalization

What Ev­i­dence Filtered Ev­i­dence?

Is out­do­ing mon­keys while imag­in­ing free will the only way you can feel like a man?

The Bot­tom Line

How to Con­vince Me That 2 + 2 = 3

9/​26 is Petrov Day

Oc­cam’s Razor

Ein­stein’s Arrogance

How Much Ev­i­dence Does It Take?

The Lens That Sees Its Flaws

What is Ev­i­dence?

Bur­den­some Details

Con­junc­tion Con­tro­versy (Or, How They Nail It Down)

Con­junc­tion Fallacy

Kah­ne­man’s Plan­ning Anecdote

Plan­ning Fallacy

Why I’m Blooking

Dou­ble­think (Choos­ing to be Bi­ased)

Hu­man Evil and Mud­dled Thinking

Ra­tion­al­ity and the English Language

Ap­plause Lights

We Don’t Really Want Your Participation

Rad­i­cal Honesty

The Crack­pot Offer

An­chor­ing and Adjustment

Why is the Fu­ture So Ab­surd?

So much for the fac­tual pub­lic de­bate that democ­ra­cies com­pletely fail to be built on

Availability

Ab­sur­dity Heuris­tic, Ab­sur­dity Bias

Mar­kets are a kind of elec­tro­chem­i­cal cell

“Science” as Cu­ri­os­ity-Stopper

Who needs democ­racy, free speech and all that rub­bish when you can pre­scribe the val­ues of your cit­i­zens?

Ex­plain/​Wor­ship/​Ig­nore?

Stranger Than History

Mak­ing His­tory Available

Failing to Learn from History

My Wild and Reck­less Youth

Say Not “Com­plex­ity”

Pos­i­tive Bias: Look Into the Dark

The Fu­til­ity of Emergence

Mys­te­ri­ous An­swers to Mys­te­ri­ous Questions

Se­man­tic Stopsigns

Fake Causality

Science as Attire

Guess­ing the Teacher’s Password

Fake Explanations