This post is part of myHazardous Guide To Rationality.I don’t expect this to be new or exciting to frequent LW people, and I would super appreciate comments and feedback in light of intents for the sequence, as outlined in the above link. Also, note this is a STRUCTURE post, again see the above link for what that means.
STRUCTURE: Reality and rational best practice
This post is part of my Hazardous Guide To Rationality. I don’t expect this to be new or exciting to frequent LW people, and I would super appreciate comments and feedback in light of intents for the sequence, as outlined in the above link. Also, note this is a STRUCTURE post, again see the above link for what that means.
The Simple Truth
The shifting sands of belief
Updating as the winds of evidence shift, not in begrudging jumps and jerks
Why you don’t need “certainty”
… and why it feels like you totally do need it.
0 and 1 aren’t probabilities
Fallacy of the grey
Make your beliefs pay rent
Reductionism
Pole Vaulting over the Uncanny Valley of Bad Rationality
Crash course in VNM rational agents (and why you aren’t one)
Rescuing the Utility function
More from a “how not to personally fall into an existential funk” perspective.