If the question is whether I think they were true at time given the information I have now, I think all of the individual points hold up except for the first and third “opinions”. I am now less sure about what OpenAI leadership believed or cared about. The last of the “opinions” also seems potentially overstated. Consequently, the overall thrust now seems off, but I still think it was good to share my views at the time, to start a discussion.
If the question is about the state of the organization now, I know less about that because I haven’t worked there in over a year. But the organization has certainly changed a lot since this post was written over 18 months ago.
I don’t really follow this reasoning. If anything, playing a leadership role in AI policy or safety evaluations will usually give you an additional reason not to publicly disparage AI companies, to avoid being seen as partisan, making being subject to such an agreement less of an issue. I would be pretty surprised if such people subject to these agreements felt particularly constrained in what they could say as part of their official duties, although if I am wrong about this then it does seem like quite a concerning thing to have happened. The obvious exception to this is if the role involves unofficial public commentary about labs, but it’s not obvious to me that this has been a big part of the role of any of the people on your list, and even then, they may not have felt especially constrained, depending on the individual. It’s also worth noting that several of these roles require the holder to give up or donate lab equity to avoid any conflict of interest, regardless of any non-disparagement agreements.
I suspect the crux may be our differing interpretations of the agreement. I’m not sure where your interpretation that it prohibits “taking any actions which might make the company less valuable” comes from, maybe you could highlight the part of the agreement you are basing that on.