I mostly agree. And I think when people say race dynamics they often actually mean speed of progress and especially “Effects of open models on ease of training closed models [and open models],” which you mention.
But here is a race-dynamics story:
Alice has the best open model. She prefers for AI progress to slow down but also prefers to have the best open model (for reasons of prestige or, if different companies’ models are not interchangeable, future market share). Bob releases a great open model. This incentivizes Alice to release a new state-of-the-art model sooner.
I mostly agree. And I think when people say race dynamics they often actually mean speed of progress and especially “Effects of open models on ease of training closed models [and open models],” which you mention.
But here is a race-dynamics story: