Of course the math still works if you replace “true” with “flubby”. But it’s an LW norm to make the epistemological (non-mathematical) claim that cognition has to be Bayesian to work, which is what I was addressing.
Of course the math still works if you replace “true” with “flubby”. But it’s an LW norm to make the epistemological (non-mathematical) claim that cognition has to be Bayesian to work, which is what I was addressing.