The Milankovic forcing is small. Even in the unforced case we would probably miss the next trigger and have 50 Ka of peace and quiet. Now we’re well past the threshhold. Find something else to worry about, please, like ocean acidification, coastal flooding, rapid regional climate shifts, and ecosystem disruption for instance.
The Milankovic forcing is small. Even in the unforced case we would probably miss the next trigger and have 50 Ka of peace and quiet. Now we’re well past the threshhold. Find something else to worry about, please, like ocean acidification, coastal flooding, rapid regional climate shifts, and ecosystem disruption for instance.
You are assuming that Milankovitch cycles are the cause of the problem?
That is debated—due to things like:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/100,000-year_problem
...and the list here:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Milankovitch_cycles#Problems
See also some of the alternative hypotheses:
“Sun’s fickle heart may leave us cold”
http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg19325884.500-suns-fickle-heart-may-leave-us-cold.html
...and...
“A New Theory of Glacial Cycles”
http://muller.lbl.gov/pages/glacialmain.htm
Unreferenced claims that “we are well past the threshold” don’t count as particularly useful evidence.
I recommend you back up such material if you want to continue this discussion.