There are those among us who resist the steady march of science, who feel that the reductionist creed takes away the beauty of things, who would rather enjoy sacred mysteries instead of naturalistic explanations. I suspect not many of them are reading this site. But even among aspiring rationalists, there are probably many who still feel some sympathy to that line of thought, who cannot but feel a twinge of pain where something mysterious ends up explained.
I can make a stronger complaint than that: that the more we find out about ourselves, the emptier we feel. Finding out about other things is usually a pleasant and exciting experience. Finding out about human nature, and particularly your own nature is typically a soul-destroying experience, because we all started off with an inflated sense of our own value, importance, wisdom, etc. We also have a strong intuitive belief in our own un-understandability—that we are “free agents” independent from the laws of the universe. This, it turns out, is false.
Finding out about human nature, and particularly your own nature is typically a soul-destroying experience,
Either we have very different natures or you’re doing it wrong. Are you sure you’re really understanding your own nature, or are you just being told in a flat voice that it’s non-mysterious but without actually having the sort of knowledge you’d need to e.g. build a copy of yourself?
I’ve been pleasantly surprised by the fact that every piece of knowledge I feared has turned out not to cause an internal catastrophe once I obtained it.
I wouldn’t say “internal catastrophe”, more just a long line of disappointments. To wit: finding out that when we humans profess our undying love for each other, we are actually simply deluded. The real nature of human relationships is a compromise between co-operation and defection, as evidence by human nonpaternity studies.
Or, take the example of charity and the extent to which many people give just enough money to charity to purchase moral satisfaction and no more. And the degree to which people are eager to help people like tramps who are near and immediate, but not the much more worthy cause of third world poverty. And also the extent to which people react badly to suggestions about efficient charity.
Hell, consider that most people just don’t give anything to charity, and don’t think that there’s a problem with ordering their nice new flatscreen TV whilst the kids in Africa die of malaria. And, of course, there’s an evo-psych explanation for this.
Or, to take a leaf from the book of Frank Adamek, consider the extent to which humans do not magically become super-motivated and super effective when they know that their actions determine, with non-negligible probability, the fate of the universe:
What we do have are foibles, eccentricities, and fixations. We have imperfections and disabilities, irrational modes of thought and poor calibration. We’re dragged down by fear and self-doubt and insecurities. We’re given to rash and ineffective violence, and to thinking in tribalistic, us-versus-them mindsets. We shake and we cry and we bleed, we get sick and we get disparaged and we get depressed.
In each of these cases, more self knowledge shatters our pleasant delusions about ourselves.
Now, since I am still here, I haven’t had an “internal catastrophe” upon learning these things, because as PJEby says, knowing your weaknesses is the first step to overcoming them. In essence, this little comment explains both the urgent need for transhumanism, and why it is so unpopular.
And lastly, the best thing one could ever learn about human nature is that we will succeed this century in spite of our flaws. And that, I guess, is singularitarianism. Unfortunately, it is a dream which may or may not come true.
Irrelevant—the claim is whether or not more self-knowledge is a happy set of surprises or a set of mostly disappointments. I do not think that my pre rationaliy expectations about human nature were unusual for a human being. Maybe this is your claim? You think that there are people who read evolutionary psychology and were pleasantly surprised?
You think that there are people who read evolutionary psychology and were pleasantly surprised?
I’ve found a definite relief in evolutionary psychology—as many others, I have maintained an unrealistically positive self-image. Then at times I have found out that my actions don’t match up with the ethics I was previously claiming to follow. Looking at evpsych and realizing that this kind of behavior is actually normal has helped me to accept that I don’t need to feel guilty about being less ethical than I actually am… and accepting that has helped me actually become more ethical, in more ways than one, as I don’t need to waste time feeling guilty instead of actually changing things.
Looking at evpsych and realizing that this kind of behavior is actually normal has helped me to accept that I don’t need to feel guilty about being less ethical than I actually am
Now that is an interesting take on the matter. Thank you, Kaj.
Of course, before the “realization” that your misdemeanours were caused by lawful physical malfunctions of your brain, rather than by a nonphysical black box called your “self”, one could always entertain the illusion that misbehaviour was, for oneself, an abberation which would be expunged if only you really tried hard enough. To realize that it is the default scenario is saddening.
It’s hard to fix the root cause of a problem without understanding it.
If I had simultaneously discovered Evo Psych, and a viable strategy to debias the human race quickly, I would share your enthusiasm… as it is, the situation could be construed as hopeless, so it might be better if we lived out our lives in ignorance. Whether it is actually hopeless is another question, and one that I want to answer.
I thought it was hopeless before I discovered Evo Psych. Now it’s just very difficult.
Quickly debiasing the human race seems a bit optimistic :-) Knowing Evo Psych at least makes it possible to make better predictions, and take more effective action. How can this be a bad thing?
I think your expectations about human nature were unusual, though typical for a nerd. They’re probably what everyone verbalizes, but you’re a nerd who is dominated by words, rather than paying attention to (and imitating) how people actually act. I think the answer to Psychohistorian’s question about where you got your standards is from other people, who described them in the language of Normal people, while you spoke only Nerd.
Also, your complaints are all phrased in terms of other people, not self-knowledge. It is compatible with your claims that you live up to your standards and other people just don’t hold them. In particular, you complain that you’re not important because people don’t act. But if most people don’t act, there’s little competition to be important! That doesn’t mean it’s easy, but it means that it’s difficult in ways that are different than you thought before, and you have the advantage of knowing this.
Probably you don’t live up to your standards, but pay attention and check what you actually do. Don’t take ev psych’s word for it, since (I claim) you got in this mess by paying too much attention to words.
They’re probably what everyone verbalizes, but you’re a nerd who is dominated by words, rather than paying attention to (and imitating) how people actually act. I think the answer to Psychohistorian’s question about where you got your standards is from other people, who described them in the language of Normal people, while you spoke only Nerd.
So basically, the solution to the problem of being depressed because I now have too much knowledge about my own, and others’ flaws is to get one more piece of knowledge: nobody else really believes in these standards, and furthermore are are continually emitting Genuine BullShit (tm) when they speak about standards—i.e. they compartmentalize—abstract ethics goes in one compartment, actual criteria for taking actions go in another.
So basically, the solution to the problem of being depressed because I now have too much knowledge
Maybe my comment mislead because of the context. I didn’t say it was a solution. Mainly, I meant to unbundle “what” from “why.” I think it is what people do that bothers you. For people who are already disappointed by “what,” learning “why” might be a positive experience.
I didn’t say that self-knowledge makes you happy, though I agree with Kaj Sotala. And self-knowledge is necessary for self-improvement, for you produce your own happiness.
Mainly, I meant to unbundle “what” from “why.” I think it is what people do that bothers you. For people who are already disappointed by “what,” learning “why” might be a positive experience.
I think that people who do not know about human cognitive biases tend to hold lots of false beliefs on the “what” side, for example by employing various pieces of dark side epistemology to protect certain cherished false beliefs about human nature.
And self-knowledge is necessary for self-improvement, for you produce your own happiness.
yes but self-knowledge is not necessary for happiness—let us be clear, you might never get as much happiness back through effort as you lost through debiasing. Not that that bothers me, because I value truth very highly, but it would bother some people.
Quite simply, there is nothing inherently “depressing” or “disappointing” with how people happen to be. It would be nice if people were genuinely charitable, and, to the degree that it’s intelligible, it would be nice if love were more than “mere chemical reactions.” But it’s never been this way, and neither will ever likely actually happen. The fundamental problem is that your reaction works as if changing your understanding changed the world, rather than the other way around.
What I meant by high standards specifically is that one need not think people are perfectly charitable to generally like people. People you don’t know behaving somewhat worse than you would hope is not a reason to become dispirited, particularly when they were never that way to begin with.
Quite simply, there is nothing inherently “depressing” or “disappointing” with how people happen to be
“Depressing” is a 2-place predicate—Depressing(x,y). A certain situation x may or may not be depressing to a certain individual y. The situation that humans are both uncharitable, selfish and furthermore deluded about that is depressing to me.
Causally, this is because I also used to be deluded about it, so finding out that people are not as nice as the propoganda says they are feels like a loss, though, as you point out, it is not.
But the fact that the causal explanation for my disappointment in humanity is that I used to be deluded does not logically compel me to change my standards.
Indeed, I think that it is precisely because we are mostly deluded about what our own typical behaviour is, and what our typical motivations are that we even have a concept of goodness. Our concept of goodness is what happens when we believe our own bullshit.
And lastly, the best thing one could ever learn about human nature is that we will succeed this century in spite of our flaws. And that, I guess, is singularitarianism. Unfortunately, it is a dream which may or may not come true.
Suppose that you’re just an ordinary person, with an ordinary person’s personality, habits, and idiosyncrasies. Then, somehow, you come to find out that your personality, habits, and idiosyncrasies are all caused by the fact that there’s not enough iron in your blood, or some of the proteins in your brain are misbehaving, and you fix the problem, causing your personality, habits, and idiosyncrasies to be erased and replaced with something else. Maybe you’re happier and also more skilled as a result. But what part of you has been preserved?
I’ve been pleasantly surprised by the fact that every piece of knowledge I feared has turned out not to cause an internal catastrophe once I obtained it.
What did you fear?
Maybe I’m reading too much into this phrasing, but I really don’t like that “once I obtained it.” It would be plausible if you were saying that you feared things from afar, but once you were forced to deal with them, it turned out that you could live with them, and you could have figured that out if you’d confronted them ahead of time. But it sounds like you’re saying that they only turned out to be unproblematic when you got close to them, which sounds suspicious to me.
Finding out about human nature, and particularly your own nature is typically a soul-destroying experience, because we all started off with an inflated sense of our own value, importance, wisdom, etc.
That’s only true if the insight isn’t accompanied by the ability to change that nature. Finding out just how messed up you are is liberating when you realize that 1) you’re not to blame for the past, and 2) it doesn’t have to be your future any more.
We are able to make small changes to human nature, including our own nature. Just how far do you think that can be taken, though? Can a lazy person recognize that they are lazy and go on to become a millionaire?
I can think of 6 of my friends who became multi-millionaires at a young age. 4 of them got wild lucky breaks with stock options; 1 of them inherited it; 1 of them worked for 10 years to build a large company starting from nothing, which I think he still owns 50% of (the other 50% being owned by his initial angel investor).
So, 5 out of these 6 millionaires got there almost completely by luck. Ironically, at least 2 of these 5 are absolutely convinced that anyone in the US who is smart and works hard will become a millionaire.
So, 5 out of these 6 millionaires got there almost completely by luck
that 5 of your friends all got very lucky seems very unlikely to me. Perhaps you have a biased sample of intelligent, motivated friends (i.e. more intelligent and motivated than average).
It was not just luck in the stock-options cases. They wouldn’t have gotten lucky if they weren’t capable, motivated people. So, biased sample, yes. But, still, lucky.
saturn—No, I didn’t initially know that they were millionaires.
Just how far do you think that can be taken, though? Can a lazy person recognize that they are lazy and go on to become a millionaire?
I’ll wait to answer that question until I become a millionaire a second time, so I can replicate the result. ;-) (The first time might have been overly influenced by the dotcom boom, and in any event didn’t involve me changing any personal characteristics.)
More seriously: I’ve changed a ton of other characteristics in myself, both minor and major, and this is not uncommon among people I’ve trained. Realizing that you do something for a reason—even if it’s a stupid, outdated, reason—is often a relief in itself. But once you understand the reason, then using the right method(s) allows change to take place almost instantaneously. It’s finding the reasons in the first place that’s more complex, since the brain does not (alas) have a “view source” button.
In a dotcom startup that made it big? Were you a founder? Early employee?
Something like that. I designed a customer ticket tracking system that decreased customer-perceived latency of cases handled by email (using a novel scheduling technique derived from the Theory of Constraints), improved interdisciplinary co-operation across a physically and organizationally-distributed workforce, and enabled private-label support for OEM clients without needing dedicated staff for each client.
It made a huge difference to the ability to land private-label deals while keeping the overhead for each deal low, as well as easing product-line integration as the company expanded. In terms of value to the company, it was probably worth at least $20-30million during the time I worked there. I probably should’ve asked for more options. ;-)
And the skills required for this were? Programming experience and your innate intelligence, plus a modicum of business sense and what we would call rationality here?
And the skills required for this were? Programming experience and your innate intelligence, plus a modicum of business sense and what we would call rationality here?
I don’t think that much of what gets discussed here would’ve helped much or been particularly relevant. It was more a matter of knowing what I wanted and what the company needed, as well as my previous 12+ years practical experience about what people will and won’t do when confronted with a computer program that they don’t necessarily want to use in the first place.
It was a problem of whole-system design, including both social and HCI aspects. For example, many characteristics of the system were designed specifically to promote viral adoption of the software within the company, as well as to create subtle social pressures towards customer- or company-beneficial behaviors. I had previously apprenticed under a teacher who taught me the social dynamics of business, as well as the art of designing systems that merged machine and human information processing with social manipulation to achieve business goals. (Specifically, in the field of real estate office management software, but the lessons were pretty universal.)
In a way, you could say my understanding of irrationality was at least as important, if not far more important, than my understanding of “rationality”. (Though I learned a lot of instrumental rationality principles during my apprenticeship as well.)
For example, many characteristics of the system were designed specifically to promote viral adoption of the software within the company, as well as to create subtle social pressures towards customer- or company-beneficial behaviors.
That sounds interesting. Could you provide some examples?
That sounds interesting. Could you provide some examples?
Well, one of the more obvious social pressures was the WCD metric, which showed up at the case and queue levels as part of the normal display. Cases were advisory-locked by working on them, and this information was shown as part of the queue display, making it obvious who’s working on something that’s part of a case, and who’s not. The last person to send a response to the customer was visible, to encourage people to prefer to continue work on the same case, but to take over if the person isn’t around. The WCD metric was also designed so that a customer never had to wait in queue a second time due to needing to email back for clarification, since what WCD measures is how long customer(s) are waiting for the resolution of an issue, rather than the duration of a single pass through the queue, or how long the customer sat around between responses. IOW, WCD was a “chess clock” timer, such that a response by the company stopped the timer until the customer made another move.
One of the viral aspects was that it was extremely easy to do all sorts of interdepartment workflows, but nobody was penalized for foreign WCD. If you transferred a case that the customer’s been waiting three days on, every department that sees it is going to prioritize it as if it’s been waiting three days, even if they’ve only just seen it now. The ease of relationship made departments demand that any department they relied upon use it, since it meant they could immediately begin a customer response as soon as they got what they needed. And departments that were receiving delegations by email from other departments, wanted to get on it so they could track the stuff.
I arrived at these design features by starting with the fundamental design dynamic of groupware, which is that nobody will ever do any work to put information into groupware unless they perceive a benefit to themselves. ;-) (There are some other dynamics, of course, but they’re not coming to me at the moment. I do not really design by consciously factoring all these principles; my designs are the output of searching for ideas within an intuitive space roughly defined by the principles.)
I used a similar set of principles in the design of WSGI and setuptools, in the sense of taking into account certain social/investment dynamics for WSGI, and prisoner’s-dilemna/viral adoption principles for setuptools.
What does WCD stand for? (“whole case delay”?) Are we supposed to know? If you mean for it to be opaque, you could signal that by putting it in quotes (“WCD metric”) the first time.
What does WCD stand for? (“whole case delay”?) Are we supposed to know? If you mean for it to be opaque, you could signal that by putting it in quotes (“WCD metric”) the first time.
Hm, I could’ve sworn I spelled it out somewhere abovet, but can’t find it now. “Weighted Customer Delay”. It’s roughly analagous to TDD (Throughput-Dollar-Days) from the Theory of Constraints, only measured in customer-hours rather than dollar-days.
What do you mean by ‘human nature’? It seems like ‘nature’ is in general ill-defined in the first place. If you mean simply, “what it’s like to be a human” then I think in many relevant ways we’re changing that all the time.
There is no ability to change human nature as yet.
If you re-read the comment you’re replying to, you’ll see I was answering the part about “your own nature”, not “human nature”.
However, if you consider that most of what constitutes “human nature” is actually metaprogramming that drives the acquisition of our individual nature, then an enormous part of that nature is not actually hard-wired.
People who’ve not done any significant amount of mindhacking are horribly biased towards believing that aspects of their individual nature are in fact universal. (Actually, everyone is so biased, it’s just that non-mindhackers are an order of magnitude worse, because they don’t have the experience yet of seeing the consistent disconnect between their automatic thoughts and external reality.)
Stupid example: earlier this week I realized that I was choosing not to aggressively pursue certain goals because I felt the “rush” to complete them would be stressful. Then I realized that there was no intrinsic association between “rush” and “stress”—that was a learned response, and a fairly specific one at that. (My mother always freaked out whenever she was late… which was virtually all the time.)
However, until I thought to question that specific assumption, I was not conscious of it being my individual nature—it was assumed to be part of human nature, or just the nature of the world itself. (i.e. “of course it’s stressful to rush”)
It’s impractical to question every implicit association, though, and practical knowledge/experience is needed as a guide to know what assumptions to surface and question. (A good rule of thumb, though, is that anything that provokes a negative emotional reaction should be questioned thoroughly.)
For the individual at least. Eugenics of course gives the ability to change human nature (albeit with a time scale and logistical difficulties that make it useless to most purposes).
I can make a stronger complaint than that: that the more we find out about ourselves, the emptier we feel.
How generally does your statement apply? How do you know it? There are wrong ways to learn, but also good ones. Also, the level of happiness usually can’t be systematically affected.
It seems to be fairly general. Can you point to a set of news items about human nature that makes us feel better about ourselves? I can point to lots that probe human self-delusion, weakness and mechanicity.
I can make a stronger complaint than that: that the more we find out about ourselves, the emptier we feel. Finding out about other things is usually a pleasant and exciting experience. Finding out about human nature, and particularly your own nature is typically a soul-destroying experience, because we all started off with an inflated sense of our own value, importance, wisdom, etc. We also have a strong intuitive belief in our own un-understandability—that we are “free agents” independent from the laws of the universe. This, it turns out, is false.
Either we have very different natures or you’re doing it wrong. Are you sure you’re really understanding your own nature, or are you just being told in a flat voice that it’s non-mysterious but without actually having the sort of knowledge you’d need to e.g. build a copy of yourself?
I’ve been pleasantly surprised by the fact that every piece of knowledge I feared has turned out not to cause an internal catastrophe once I obtained it.
I wouldn’t say “internal catastrophe”, more just a long line of disappointments. To wit: finding out that when we humans profess our undying love for each other, we are actually simply deluded. The real nature of human relationships is a compromise between co-operation and defection, as evidence by human nonpaternity studies.
Or, take the example of charity and the extent to which many people give just enough money to charity to purchase moral satisfaction and no more. And the degree to which people are eager to help people like tramps who are near and immediate, but not the much more worthy cause of third world poverty. And also the extent to which people react badly to suggestions about efficient charity.
Hell, consider that most people just don’t give anything to charity, and don’t think that there’s a problem with ordering their nice new flatscreen TV whilst the kids in Africa die of malaria. And, of course, there’s an evo-psych explanation for this.
Or, to take a leaf from the book of Frank Adamek, consider the extent to which humans do not magically become super-motivated and super effective when they know that their actions determine, with non-negligible probability, the fate of the universe:
In each of these cases, more self knowledge shatters our pleasant delusions about ourselves.
Now, since I am still here, I haven’t had an “internal catastrophe” upon learning these things, because as PJEby says, knowing your weaknesses is the first step to overcoming them. In essence, this little comment explains both the urgent need for transhumanism, and why it is so unpopular.
And lastly, the best thing one could ever learn about human nature is that we will succeed this century in spite of our flaws. And that, I guess, is singularitarianism. Unfortunately, it is a dream which may or may not come true.
I’m not sure where you got your standards, but I’m reasonably sure they’re a bit high.
Irrelevant—the claim is whether or not more self-knowledge is a happy set of surprises or a set of mostly disappointments. I do not think that my pre rationaliy expectations about human nature were unusual for a human being. Maybe this is your claim? You think that there are people who read evolutionary psychology and were pleasantly surprised?
I’ve found a definite relief in evolutionary psychology—as many others, I have maintained an unrealistically positive self-image. Then at times I have found out that my actions don’t match up with the ethics I was previously claiming to follow. Looking at evpsych and realizing that this kind of behavior is actually normal has helped me to accept that I don’t need to feel guilty about being less ethical than I actually am… and accepting that has helped me actually become more ethical, in more ways than one, as I don’t need to waste time feeling guilty instead of actually changing things.
Now that is an interesting take on the matter. Thank you, Kaj.
Of course, before the “realization” that your misdemeanours were caused by lawful physical malfunctions of your brain, rather than by a nonphysical black box called your “self”, one could always entertain the illusion that misbehaviour was, for oneself, an abberation which would be expunged if only you really tried hard enough. To realize that it is the default scenario is saddening.
clarify: about the possibility of being less ethical than you are now? Obviously you can’t now be less than you are now.
I think I meant to write something along the lines of “about acting less ethically than my unrealistically glorified self-image claims I would act”.
I was VERY pleasantly surprised. Suddenly an enormous set of previously baffling data (i.e. the behaviour of most of humanity) began to make sense :-)
It’s hard to fix the root cause of a problem without understanding it.
If I had simultaneously discovered Evo Psych, and a viable strategy to debias the human race quickly, I would share your enthusiasm… as it is, the situation could be construed as hopeless, so it might be better if we lived out our lives in ignorance. Whether it is actually hopeless is another question, and one that I want to answer.
I thought it was hopeless before I discovered Evo Psych. Now it’s just very difficult.
Quickly debiasing the human race seems a bit optimistic :-) Knowing Evo Psych at least makes it possible to make better predictions, and take more effective action. How can this be a bad thing?
I think your expectations about human nature were unusual, though typical for a nerd. They’re probably what everyone verbalizes, but you’re a nerd who is dominated by words, rather than paying attention to (and imitating) how people actually act. I think the answer to Psychohistorian’s question about where you got your standards is from other people, who described them in the language of Normal people, while you spoke only Nerd.
Also, your complaints are all phrased in terms of other people, not self-knowledge. It is compatible with your claims that you live up to your standards and other people just don’t hold them. In particular, you complain that you’re not important because people don’t act. But if most people don’t act, there’s little competition to be important! That doesn’t mean it’s easy, but it means that it’s difficult in ways that are different than you thought before, and you have the advantage of knowing this.
Probably you don’t live up to your standards, but pay attention and check what you actually do. Don’t take ev psych’s word for it, since (I claim) you got in this mess by paying too much attention to words.
So basically, the solution to the problem of being depressed because I now have too much knowledge about my own, and others’ flaws is to get one more piece of knowledge: nobody else really believes in these standards, and furthermore are are continually emitting Genuine BullShit (tm) when they speak about standards—i.e. they compartmentalize—abstract ethics goes in one compartment, actual criteria for taking actions go in another.
Maybe my comment mislead because of the context. I didn’t say it was a solution. Mainly, I meant to unbundle “what” from “why.” I think it is what people do that bothers you. For people who are already disappointed by “what,” learning “why” might be a positive experience.
I didn’t say that self-knowledge makes you happy, though I agree with Kaj Sotala. And self-knowledge is necessary for self-improvement, for you produce your own happiness.
I think that people who do not know about human cognitive biases tend to hold lots of false beliefs on the “what” side, for example by employing various pieces of dark side epistemology to protect certain cherished false beliefs about human nature.
yes but self-knowledge is not necessary for happiness—let us be clear, you might never get as much happiness back through effort as you lost through debiasing. Not that that bothers me, because I value truth very highly, but it would bother some people.
Quite simply, there is nothing inherently “depressing” or “disappointing” with how people happen to be. It would be nice if people were genuinely charitable, and, to the degree that it’s intelligible, it would be nice if love were more than “mere chemical reactions.” But it’s never been this way, and neither will ever likely actually happen. The fundamental problem is that your reaction works as if changing your understanding changed the world, rather than the other way around.
What I meant by high standards specifically is that one need not think people are perfectly charitable to generally like people. People you don’t know behaving somewhat worse than you would hope is not a reason to become dispirited, particularly when they were never that way to begin with.
“Depressing” is a 2-place predicate—Depressing(x,y). A certain situation x may or may not be depressing to a certain individual y. The situation that humans are both uncharitable, selfish and furthermore deluded about that is depressing to me.
Causally, this is because I also used to be deluded about it, so finding out that people are not as nice as the propoganda says they are feels like a loss, though, as you point out, it is not.
But the fact that the causal explanation for my disappointment in humanity is that I used to be deluded does not logically compel me to change my standards.
Indeed, I think that it is precisely because we are mostly deluded about what our own typical behaviour is, and what our typical motivations are that we even have a concept of goodness. Our concept of goodness is what happens when we believe our own bullshit.
I would suggest reading: http://lesswrong.com/lw/sc/existential_angst_factory/
Huh? Some teleology. Obligatory reading: Existential risk.
I said may or may not come true—I realize that existential risk is the main power behind “may not”
You did say that, but you also said that “we will succeed this century *in spite of* our flaws”, which seems like a clear contradiction.
Suppose that you’re just an ordinary person, with an ordinary person’s personality, habits, and idiosyncrasies. Then, somehow, you come to find out that your personality, habits, and idiosyncrasies are all caused by the fact that there’s not enough iron in your blood, or some of the proteins in your brain are misbehaving, and you fix the problem, causing your personality, habits, and idiosyncrasies to be erased and replaced with something else. Maybe you’re happier and also more skilled as a result. But what part of you has been preserved?
My feeling of existence.
What if I just replaced you with a copy of, I dunno, my high school English teacher? You would still have a feeling of existence if I did that.
If you did that gradually, maybe.
What did you fear?
Maybe I’m reading too much into this phrasing, but I really don’t like that “once I obtained it.” It would be plausible if you were saying that you feared things from afar, but once you were forced to deal with them, it turned out that you could live with them, and you could have figured that out if you’d confronted them ahead of time. But it sounds like you’re saying that they only turned out to be unproblematic when you got close to them, which sounds suspicious to me.
That’s only true if the insight isn’t accompanied by the ability to change that nature. Finding out just how messed up you are is liberating when you realize that 1) you’re not to blame for the past, and 2) it doesn’t have to be your future any more.
This is true, to some extent.
We are able to make small changes to human nature, including our own nature. Just how far do you think that can be taken, though? Can a lazy person recognize that they are lazy and go on to become a millionaire?
I can think of 6 of my friends who became multi-millionaires at a young age. 4 of them got wild lucky breaks with stock options; 1 of them inherited it; 1 of them worked for 10 years to build a large company starting from nothing, which I think he still owns 50% of (the other 50% being owned by his initial angel investor).
So, 5 out of these 6 millionaires got there almost completely by luck. Ironically, at least 2 of these 5 are absolutely convinced that anyone in the US who is smart and works hard will become a millionaire.
that 5 of your friends all got very lucky seems very unlikely to me. Perhaps you have a biased sample of intelligent, motivated friends (i.e. more intelligent and motivated than average).
Perhaps Phil prefers making friends with people who are already millionaires.
It was not just luck in the stock-options cases. They wouldn’t have gotten lucky if they weren’t capable, motivated people. So, biased sample, yes. But, still, lucky.
saturn—No, I didn’t initially know that they were millionaires.
how do you know? Do you have 5 other capable, motivated friends who shot for millionairedom and failed over and over again?
Which two?
I’ll wait to answer that question until I become a millionaire a second time, so I can replicate the result. ;-) (The first time might have been overly influenced by the dotcom boom, and in any event didn’t involve me changing any personal characteristics.)
More seriously: I’ve changed a ton of other characteristics in myself, both minor and major, and this is not uncommon among people I’ve trained. Realizing that you do something for a reason—even if it’s a stupid, outdated, reason—is often a relief in itself. But once you understand the reason, then using the right method(s) allows change to take place almost instantaneously. It’s finding the reasons in the first place that’s more complex, since the brain does not (alas) have a “view source” button.
How did you first become a millionaire?
Stock options.
In a dotcom startup that made it big? Were you a founder? Early employee?
Something like that. I designed a customer ticket tracking system that decreased customer-perceived latency of cases handled by email (using a novel scheduling technique derived from the Theory of Constraints), improved interdisciplinary co-operation across a physically and organizationally-distributed workforce, and enabled private-label support for OEM clients without needing dedicated staff for each client.
It made a huge difference to the ability to land private-label deals while keeping the overhead for each deal low, as well as easing product-line integration as the company expanded. In terms of value to the company, it was probably worth at least $20-30million during the time I worked there. I probably should’ve asked for more options. ;-)
And the skills required for this were? Programming experience and your innate intelligence, plus a modicum of business sense and what we would call rationality here?
I don’t think that much of what gets discussed here would’ve helped much or been particularly relevant. It was more a matter of knowing what I wanted and what the company needed, as well as my previous 12+ years practical experience about what people will and won’t do when confronted with a computer program that they don’t necessarily want to use in the first place.
It was a problem of whole-system design, including both social and HCI aspects. For example, many characteristics of the system were designed specifically to promote viral adoption of the software within the company, as well as to create subtle social pressures towards customer- or company-beneficial behaviors. I had previously apprenticed under a teacher who taught me the social dynamics of business, as well as the art of designing systems that merged machine and human information processing with social manipulation to achieve business goals. (Specifically, in the field of real estate office management software, but the lessons were pretty universal.)
In a way, you could say my understanding of irrationality was at least as important, if not far more important, than my understanding of “rationality”. (Though I learned a lot of instrumental rationality principles during my apprenticeship as well.)
Very interesting. And you must have been, what, 30 when you did this? 35?
That sounds interesting. Could you provide some examples?
Well, one of the more obvious social pressures was the WCD metric, which showed up at the case and queue levels as part of the normal display. Cases were advisory-locked by working on them, and this information was shown as part of the queue display, making it obvious who’s working on something that’s part of a case, and who’s not. The last person to send a response to the customer was visible, to encourage people to prefer to continue work on the same case, but to take over if the person isn’t around. The WCD metric was also designed so that a customer never had to wait in queue a second time due to needing to email back for clarification, since what WCD measures is how long customer(s) are waiting for the resolution of an issue, rather than the duration of a single pass through the queue, or how long the customer sat around between responses. IOW, WCD was a “chess clock” timer, such that a response by the company stopped the timer until the customer made another move.
One of the viral aspects was that it was extremely easy to do all sorts of interdepartment workflows, but nobody was penalized for foreign WCD. If you transferred a case that the customer’s been waiting three days on, every department that sees it is going to prioritize it as if it’s been waiting three days, even if they’ve only just seen it now. The ease of relationship made departments demand that any department they relied upon use it, since it meant they could immediately begin a customer response as soon as they got what they needed. And departments that were receiving delegations by email from other departments, wanted to get on it so they could track the stuff.
I arrived at these design features by starting with the fundamental design dynamic of groupware, which is that nobody will ever do any work to put information into groupware unless they perceive a benefit to themselves. ;-) (There are some other dynamics, of course, but they’re not coming to me at the moment. I do not really design by consciously factoring all these principles; my designs are the output of searching for ideas within an intuitive space roughly defined by the principles.)
I used a similar set of principles in the design of WSGI and setuptools, in the sense of taking into account certain social/investment dynamics for WSGI, and prisoner’s-dilemna/viral adoption principles for setuptools.
Thank you, that’s very interesting. I need to remember those techniques, some of them may come in handy later on.
What does WCD stand for? (“whole case delay”?) Are we supposed to know? If you mean for it to be opaque, you could signal that by putting it in quotes (“WCD metric”) the first time.
Hm, I could’ve sworn I spelled it out somewhere abovet, but can’t find it now. “Weighted Customer Delay”. It’s roughly analagous to TDD (Throughput-Dollar-Days) from the Theory of Constraints, only measured in customer-hours rather than dollar-days.
They can. A lazy person recognizing they are lazy and becoming a driven go-getter type would be a far less plausible outcome.
Lazy + intelligent + flexible ethics is a reasonable combination for becoming a millionaire (or a prison inmate).
There is no ability to change human nature as yet.
What do you mean by ‘human nature’? It seems like ‘nature’ is in general ill-defined in the first place. If you mean simply, “what it’s like to be a human” then I think in many relevant ways we’re changing that all the time.
As the Nietzschean quip goes, if the human nature is to be in flux, then you can’t change it by changing yourself or others.
You can change it in 5 minutes with an icepick.
If you re-read the comment you’re replying to, you’ll see I was answering the part about “your own nature”, not “human nature”.
However, if you consider that most of what constitutes “human nature” is actually metaprogramming that drives the acquisition of our individual nature, then an enormous part of that nature is not actually hard-wired.
People who’ve not done any significant amount of mindhacking are horribly biased towards believing that aspects of their individual nature are in fact universal. (Actually, everyone is so biased, it’s just that non-mindhackers are an order of magnitude worse, because they don’t have the experience yet of seeing the consistent disconnect between their automatic thoughts and external reality.)
Stupid example: earlier this week I realized that I was choosing not to aggressively pursue certain goals because I felt the “rush” to complete them would be stressful. Then I realized that there was no intrinsic association between “rush” and “stress”—that was a learned response, and a fairly specific one at that. (My mother always freaked out whenever she was late… which was virtually all the time.)
However, until I thought to question that specific assumption, I was not conscious of it being my individual nature—it was assumed to be part of human nature, or just the nature of the world itself. (i.e. “of course it’s stressful to rush”)
It’s impractical to question every implicit association, though, and practical knowledge/experience is needed as a guide to know what assumptions to surface and question. (A good rule of thumb, though, is that anything that provokes a negative emotional reaction should be questioned thoroughly.)
Modafinil removes the urge to sleep pretty well—but as thomblake mentions, it depends on how you define that ill-defined concept.
For the individual at least. Eugenics of course gives the ability to change human nature (albeit with a time scale and logistical difficulties that make it useless to most purposes).
How generally does your statement apply? How do you know it? There are wrong ways to learn, but also good ones. Also, the level of happiness usually can’t be systematically affected.
It is probably true that learning things is unlikely to make you any happier or unhappier than you were to start with.
It seems to be fairly general. Can you point to a set of news items about human nature that makes us feel better about ourselves? I can point to lots that probe human self-delusion, weakness and mechanicity.