I have yet to be convinced that a Bayesian superintelligence couldn’t infer the existence of fly-like organisms from a horse’s DNA.
Well, sure. A Bayesian superintelligence would probably guess that a crow caws to communicate with other crows even without the crow’s DNA. There’s a lot of similarity and pattern in the universe, and you can infer much by analogy. What we’re debating, however, isn’t what a superpower might be able to infer but where the information is coded for why the crow caws.
Perhaps the universe is deterministic and everything can be deduced by a superintelligence from the periodic table of the elements and the number of pigeons born in Maine on Sunday. Only in this sense would the DNA of the crow contain information about the caw and the DNA of the horse contain information about the fly.
This is why I am so confident: The DNA base pairs of life are random, except for the fact that they need to code information that leads to better fitness. Yet coding information provided by the environment itself would be redundant information-wise. So while the information could be there, by accident, there’s no reason that it would be there necessarily.
I imagine that if efficient fly-swatting leads to some genetic advantage, then one might deduce the size and weight of a fly from the length and motion dynamics of the tail. That would be neat. But unlikely, because what are the chances that the tail is so tuned? Why should the information necessarily be there?
Well, sure. A Bayesian superintelligence would probably guess that a crow caws to communicate with other crows even without the crow’s DNA. There’s a lot of similarity and pattern in the universe, and you can infer much by analogy. What we’re debating, however, isn’t what a superpower might be able to infer but where the information is coded for why the crow caws.
Perhaps the universe is deterministic and everything can be deduced by a superintelligence from the periodic table of the elements and the number of pigeons born in Maine on Sunday. Only in this sense would the DNA of the crow contain information about the caw and the DNA of the horse contain information about the fly.
This is why I am so confident: The DNA base pairs of life are random, except for the fact that they need to code information that leads to better fitness. Yet coding information provided by the environment itself would be redundant information-wise. So while the information could be there, by accident, there’s no reason that it would be there necessarily.
I imagine that if efficient fly-swatting leads to some genetic advantage, then one might deduce the size and weight of a fly from the length and motion dynamics of the tail. That would be neat. But unlikely, because what are the chances that the tail is so tuned? Why should the information necessarily be there?