I’m certain there is not enough information in how the crow caws. For example, there is not enough information even in the DNA; if the base pairs could be deduced from it’s caw (which I would guess is impossible), because the full explanation will involve it’s environment and the other crows.
I’d agree that there probably isn’t enough information, but I think your certainty is misplaced. I’m guessing the crow’s DNA contains quite a lot of information about its environment and social habits.
For example, if you cloned a horse in a sterile laboratory, you wouldn’t know why it swished it’s tail without also cloning a fly.
I have yet to be convinced that a Bayesian superintelligence couldn’t infer the existence of fly-like organisms from a horse’s DNA.
I’d agree that there probably isn’t enough information, but I think your certainty is misplaced. I’m guessing the crow’s DNA contains quite a lot of information about its environment and social habits.
Actually, it seems we agree. I’d agree that there could be enough information in the horse DNA to deduce many salient features about the fly. In fact, I might even put a higher probability on the information being in there somewhere than you would. But I thought we were trying to determine where such information is coded … in other words, how large a swathe of information would you need to guarantee that you have enough?
But I see the conversation has drifted over time.
What I was saying at the beginning, which I believe you disagreed with, was that the answer was mathematical in some way (algebraic, actually, because my favored answer to the ‘why’ was about relationships among the crows rather than about the materials the crow is made of) while you were pressing it should still be answered in the physicality of the universe:
I don’t see what you’re looking for that isn’t captured by a reductionist model of the crows, their communication mechanisms, their brains, and their evolutionary history.
So by now I’ve now changed my view. I agree with you that all the answers do ultimately lie in the materials: the crows and their material environment. At the time of my first post, I had preferred to answer that the crow had a “purpose” (to speak with other crows) but of course this is a story which would actually reduce to a bunch of statistics over time that crows had better fitness when they communicated in effective ways.
I have yet to be convinced that a Bayesian superintelligence couldn’t infer the existence of fly-like organisms from a horse’s DNA.
Well, sure. A Bayesian superintelligence would probably guess that a crow caws to communicate with other crows even without the crow’s DNA. There’s a lot of similarity and pattern in the universe, and you can infer much by analogy. What we’re debating, however, isn’t what a superpower might be able to infer but where the information is coded for why the crow caws.
Perhaps the universe is deterministic and everything can be deduced by a superintelligence from the periodic table of the elements and the number of pigeons born in Maine on Sunday. Only in this sense would the DNA of the crow contain information about the caw and the DNA of the horse contain information about the fly.
This is why I am so confident: The DNA base pairs of life are random, except for the fact that they need to code information that leads to better fitness. Yet coding information provided by the environment itself would be redundant information-wise. So while the information could be there, by accident, there’s no reason that it would be there necessarily.
I imagine that if efficient fly-swatting leads to some genetic advantage, then one might deduce the size and weight of a fly from the length and motion dynamics of the tail. That would be neat. But unlikely, because what are the chances that the tail is so tuned? Why should the information necessarily be there?
I’d agree that there probably isn’t enough information, but I think your certainty is misplaced. I’m guessing the crow’s DNA contains quite a lot of information about its environment and social habits.
I have yet to be convinced that a Bayesian superintelligence couldn’t infer the existence of fly-like organisms from a horse’s DNA.
Actually, it seems we agree. I’d agree that there could be enough information in the horse DNA to deduce many salient features about the fly. In fact, I might even put a higher probability on the information being in there somewhere than you would. But I thought we were trying to determine where such information is coded … in other words, how large a swathe of information would you need to guarantee that you have enough?
But I see the conversation has drifted over time.
What I was saying at the beginning, which I believe you disagreed with, was that the answer was mathematical in some way (algebraic, actually, because my favored answer to the ‘why’ was about relationships among the crows rather than about the materials the crow is made of) while you were pressing it should still be answered in the physicality of the universe:
So by now I’ve now changed my view. I agree with you that all the answers do ultimately lie in the materials: the crows and their material environment. At the time of my first post, I had preferred to answer that the crow had a “purpose” (to speak with other crows) but of course this is a story which would actually reduce to a bunch of statistics over time that crows had better fitness when they communicated in effective ways.
Well, sure. A Bayesian superintelligence would probably guess that a crow caws to communicate with other crows even without the crow’s DNA. There’s a lot of similarity and pattern in the universe, and you can infer much by analogy. What we’re debating, however, isn’t what a superpower might be able to infer but where the information is coded for why the crow caws.
Perhaps the universe is deterministic and everything can be deduced by a superintelligence from the periodic table of the elements and the number of pigeons born in Maine on Sunday. Only in this sense would the DNA of the crow contain information about the caw and the DNA of the horse contain information about the fly.
This is why I am so confident: The DNA base pairs of life are random, except for the fact that they need to code information that leads to better fitness. Yet coding information provided by the environment itself would be redundant information-wise. So while the information could be there, by accident, there’s no reason that it would be there necessarily.
I imagine that if efficient fly-swatting leads to some genetic advantage, then one might deduce the size and weight of a fly from the length and motion dynamics of the tail. That would be neat. But unlikely, because what are the chances that the tail is so tuned? Why should the information necessarily be there?