I expected more of an update. Do you think I missing anything specific & significant? (Other than our likely crux about priors.)
It’s hard for me to say since I don’t know much about massage, but my guess is probably not too much.
Unlike the other commenters, I am not too worried about the safety risks here. People in romantic relationships massage each other all of the time without training, and that seems to be pretty safe. I suppose certain health conditions might put people at risk, but if so they’ve probably been informed of this by their doctor as something to look out for.
That said, as you scale up, things get more risky. Like suppose you trained 5,000 people and happened to miss something important regarding safety. That would be bad. The badness of the miss gets multiplied by 5,000 (roughly).
It’s hard for me to say since I don’t know much about massage, but my guess is probably not too much.
Unlike the other commenters, I am not too worried about the safety risks here. People in romantic relationships massage each other all of the time without training, and that seems to be pretty safe. I suppose certain health conditions might put people at risk, but if so they’ve probably been informed of this by their doctor as something to look out for.
That said, as you scale up, things get more risky. Like suppose you trained 5,000 people and happened to miss something important regarding safety. That would be bad. The badness of the miss gets multiplied by 5,000 (roughly).