My counter-point was meant to express skepticism that it is actually realistically possible for people to switch to non-analogy-based evocative public messaging. I think inventing messages like this is a very tightly constrained optimization problem, potentially an over-constrained one, such that the set of satisfactory messages is empty. I think I’m considerably better at reframing games than most people, and I know I would struggle with that.
I agree that you don’t necessarily need to accompany any criticism you make with a ready-made example of doing better. Simply pointing out stuff you think is going wrong is completely valid! But a ready-made example of doing better certainly greatly enhances your point: an existence proof that you’re not demanding the impossible.
That’s why I jumped at that interpretation regarding your AI-Risk model in the post (I’d assumed you were doing it), and that’s why I’m asking whether you could generate such a message now.
I hope in the near future I can provide such a detailed model
To be clear, I would be quite happy to see that! I’m always in the market for rhetorical innovations, and “succinct and evocative gears-level public-oriented messaging about AI Risk” would be a very powerful tool for the arsenal. But I’m a-priori skeptical.
My counter-point was meant to express skepticism that it is actually realistically possible for people to switch to non-analogy-based evocative public messaging. I think inventing messages like this is a very tightly constrained optimization problem, potentially an over-constrained one, such that the set of satisfactory messages is empty. I think I’m considerably better at reframing games than most people, and I know I would struggle with that.
I agree that you don’t necessarily need to accompany any criticism you make with a ready-made example of doing better. Simply pointing out stuff you think is going wrong is completely valid! But a ready-made example of doing better certainly greatly enhances your point: an existence proof that you’re not demanding the impossible.
That’s why I jumped at that interpretation regarding your AI-Risk model in the post (I’d assumed you were doing it), and that’s why I’m asking whether you could generate such a message now.
To be clear, I would be quite happy to see that! I’m always in the market for rhetorical innovations, and “succinct and evocative gears-level public-oriented messaging about AI Risk” would be a very powerful tool for the arsenal. But I’m a-priori skeptical.