Interesting question… I’m sure with our BrainPals™ (as seen in John Scalzi’s Old Man’s War series) we can better quantify alternatives, as well as take more data into consideration. So, if someone on the street asks you for something, you “intuitively” sense that there’s a 12% chance he wants to mug you, based on certain parameters. Of course, that’s just improved applications of a known method.
Taking a step back, it’s also interesting to see what will happen to rationalism in the general population—are we becoming more rational over time? Or is it just something for a small group? I think that today the methods of rationality are at least available to more people (some of the smartest people in previous ages could have made good use of that!), but that doesn’t mean humanity as a whole gets more rational.
Interesting question… I’m sure with our BrainPals™ (as seen in John Scalzi’s Old Man’s War series) we can better quantify alternatives, as well as take more data into consideration. So, if someone on the street asks you for something, you “intuitively” sense that there’s a 12% chance he wants to mug you, based on certain parameters. Of course, that’s just improved applications of a known method.
Taking a step back, it’s also interesting to see what will happen to rationalism in the general population—are we becoming more rational over time? Or is it just something for a small group? I think that today the methods of rationality are at least available to more people (some of the smartest people in previous ages could have made good use of that!), but that doesn’t mean humanity as a whole gets more rational.