I haven’t figured out how to verbalize this properly yet, but it feels to me like the “THT” and “TTH” entries are problematic — it seems like she should only be able to count one of those options, not both. When you remove one of them, then the first coin has equal probability of coming up heads and tails as we’d expect.
I haven’t figured out how to verbalize this properly yet, but it feels to me like the “THT” and “TTH” entries are problematic — it seems like she should only be able to count one of those options, not both. When you remove one of them, then the first coin has equal probability of coming up heads and tails as we’d expect.