I agree that if you score an oracle based on how accurate it is, then it is incentivized to steer the world towards states where easy questions get asked.
I think that in these considerations it matters how powerful we assume the agent to be. You made me realize that specifying the scope and detailing the application area of the proposed approach better could have made my post more interesting. In many cases making the world more predictable may be very difficult for the agent, compared to causing the human to predict the world better. In the short term I think deploying an agentic oracle could be safe.
I agree that if you score an oracle based on how accurate it is, then it is incentivized to steer the world towards states where easy questions get asked.
I think that in these considerations it matters how powerful we assume the agent to be. You made me realize that specifying the scope and detailing the application area of the proposed approach better could have made my post more interesting. In many cases making the world more predictable may be very difficult for the agent, compared to causing the human to predict the world better. In the short term I think deploying an agentic oracle could be safe.