.I understand prediction markets just well enough to feel reasonably sure this story “”“makes””” “”“sense””” (modulo its absurd implicit and explicit premises), but not well enough to be confident I can explain anything in it any further without making a mistake or contradicting myself. Accordingly, I’m falling back on an “if you think you’ve found a plot hole, try to work it out on your own, and if you can’t then I guess I actually did screw up lol” stance.
.The fact that
neither of the protagonists ever consider the possibility of the Demon King also deriving strategic benefit from consulting an accurate and undistorted conditional prediction market
was an intended part of the narrative and I’m suprised no-one’s brought it up yet.
Some belated Author’s Notes:
.This was heavily based on several interesting blog posts written by lsusr. All errors are mine.
.I understand prediction markets just well enough to feel reasonably sure this story “”“makes””” “”“sense””” (modulo its absurd implicit and explicit premises), but not well enough to be confident I can explain anything in it any further without making a mistake or contradicting myself. Accordingly, I’m falling back on an “if you think you’ve found a plot hole, try to work it out on your own, and if you can’t then I guess I actually did screw up lol” stance.
.The fact that
neither of the protagonists ever consider the possibility of the Demon King also deriving strategic benefit from consulting an accurate and undistorted conditional prediction market
was an intended part of the narrative and I’m suprised no-one’s brought it up yet.