I am not smarter than that. But you might (just might) be. “Eliezer says so” is strong evidence for anything. I’m too stupid to use the full power of Bayes, and I should defer to Science, but Eliezer is one of the few best Bayesian wannabes—he may be mistaken, but he isn’t crazily refusing to let go of his pet theory. Still not enough to make me accept MWI, but a major change in my estimate nonetheless.
As a side note, what actually happens in a true libertarian system is Europe during the Industrial Revolution.
I am not smarter than that. But you might (just might) be. “Eliezer says so” is strong evidence for anything. I’m too stupid to use the full power of Bayes, and I should defer to Science, but Eliezer is one of the few best Bayesian wannabes—he may be mistaken, but he isn’t crazily refusing to let go of his pet theory. Still not enough to make me accept MWI, but a major change in my estimate nonetheless.
As a side note, what actually happens in a true libertarian system is Europe during the Industrial Revolution.