Pri­ors and Surprise

In­ter­est­ing Peter Norvig interview

In­di­vi­d­ual vs. Group Epistemic Rationality

Meetup: Bay Area: Sun­day, March 7th, 7pm

For progress to be by ac­cu­mu­la­tion and not by ran­dom walk, read great books

Ra­tion­al­ity quotes: March 2010

Open Thread: March 2010

Hedg­ing our Bets: The Case for Pur­su­ing Whole Brain Emu­la­tion to Safe­guard Hu­man­ity’s Future

Great Product. Lousy Mar­ket­ing.

Splin­ters and Wooden Beams

Men­tal Crystallography

Su­per­stim­uli, set­points, and obesity

Im­prov­ing The Akra­sia Hypothesis

Creat­ing a Less Wrong pre­dic­tion market

What is Bayesi­anism?

The Last Days of the Sin­gu­lar­ity Challenge

“Out­side View!” as Con­ver­sa­tion-Halter

Fic­ti­tious sentiments

Dignity

Ba­bies and Bun­nies: A Cau­tion About Evo-Psych

Woo!

Case study: abuse of fre­quen­tist statistics

Akra­sia Tac­tics Review

Con­ver­sa­tion Halters

Do­ers or do­ings?

Study: Mak­ing de­ci­sions makes you tired

Med Pa­tient So­cial Net­works Are Bet­ter Scien­tific Institutions

Ex­plicit Op­ti­miza­tion of Global Strat­egy (Fix­ing a Bug in UDT1)

Things You Can’t Countersignal

Open Thread: Fe­bru­ary 2010, part 2

Friendly AI at the NYC Fu­ture Salon

Hayekian Pre­dic­tion Mar­kets?

Boo lights: group­think edition

Two probabilities

De­mands for Par­tic­u­lar Proof: Appendices

You’re En­ti­tled to Ar­gu­ments, But Not (That Par­tic­u­lar) Proof

Two Challenges

Shock Levels are Point Estimates

How Much Should We Care What the Found­ing Fathers Thought About Any­thing?

My Fun­da­men­tal Ques­tion About Omega

The Craigslist Revolu­tion: a real-world ap­pli­ca­tion of tor­ture vs. dust specks OR How I learned to stop wor­ry­ing and cre­ate one billion dol­lars out of nothing

Shut Up and Divide?

Com­mon Er­rors in History

Epistemic Luck

A sur­vey of anti-cry­on­ics writ­ing

Limited kind­ness is unappreciated

BHTV: Eliezer Yud­kowsky & Razib Khan

Ethics has Ev­i­dence Too

De­bate tools: an ex­pe­rience report

‘Cheap’ goals won’t ex­plode intelligence